PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF APRI IN DENGUE FEVER

Thi My Tram Phan, Xuan Chuong Tran

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Abstract

In recent decades, Dengue fever has been recognized as one of the infectious diseases with the highest morbidity and mortality rates in the world. The disease is currently endemic in more than 129 countries, mainly in tropical and subtropical regions, with Asia accounting for about 70% of the global disease burden. In Vietnam, the disease has also become a serious medical problem. In 2022, the whole country has more than 300,000 cases with 115 deaths. Understanding the prognostic factors helps to detect severe cases early and reduce the mortality rate caused by the disease.


In Dengue fever, liver damage and thrombocytopenia are very common clinical manifestations. The combination of two indicators of increased transaminases and thrombocytopenia through APRI has been significant in predicting disease severity in many studies. A 2019 study showed that a high APRI differentiated patients with Dengue and severe Dengue with a sensitivity of 60.53% and a specificity of 79.89%. In 2021, a study was conducted on 4069 Dengue patients showed that an APRI value ≥ 19.18 had a predictive significance of 100%. Another study in 2023 showed with a cut-off value of 2.5, the sensitivity and specificity of the APRI value for predicting disease severity were 80.0% and 76.8%, respectively. In addition, another study showed that the APRI index helped differentiate primary and secondary Dengue infection with sensitivity and specificity of 75% and 76% with an APRI cut-off of 1.06.


Thus, through the studies, APRI is considered as a useful tool to help distinguish primary and secondary Dengue infection as well as to predict the severity of the disease, which is meaningful in early detection and timely treatment and reduce mortality from Dengue fever.

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